Now that was a enjoyable weekend of soccer.
The divisional spherical of the 2022 NFL playoffs helped make up for a lackluster wild-card weekend with a four-game show that was, arguably, one of the best week of postseason motion in NFL historical past. All 4 video games had been determined by a rating on the ultimate play. The one favourite to win and advance, the Chiefs, wanted a 13-second miracle drive from Patrick Mahomes to tie the sport. Apart from that, three underdogs gained outright to arrange a few intriguing matchups within the AFC and NFC Championship Video games.
Bettors will now be handled to a matchup of two of one of the best, younger quarterbacks on the AFC aspect of the bracket whereas the NFC aspect will characteristic a divisional rivalry between two of one of the best, younger offensive coaches within the league.
These video games ought to be aggressive, however what are gamblers to make of them? Every squad, save for the Chiefs, is missing key expertise in at the least one space, so that might make this spherical simply as unpredictable because the final. As such, the factors spreads for every sport will have to be watched closes because the traces transfer and odds change primarily based on the most recent information and harm updates.
Talking of accidents, each NFL group is banged-up presently of the season, however some are extra so than others. For instance, the 49ers are coping with accidents to their two greatest offensive gamers, receiver Deebo Samuel and left deal with Trent Williams. If both cannot swimsuit up, that can affect the unfold. Elsewhere, the looming risk of COVID nonetheless lurks, however so long as gamers are asymptomatic, they will not have to be examined — even when they’re unvaccinated — below the NFL’s postseason COVID protocol.
For extra knowledgeable NFL predictions, try Sporting Information’ picks straight up and in opposition to the unfold for the Bengals vs. Chiefs and 49ers vs. Rams video games.
BENDER: The place does Payments-Chiefs rank amongst best playoff video games?
NFL odds for convention championship video games
Beneath are the most recent NFL odds for the AFC and NFC Championship Video games, together with level spreads, cash traces and over-under totals for every sport, in accordance with FanDuel Sportsbook.
Final up to date: Wednesday, Jan. 26.
NFL convention championship sport level spreads
Recreation | Unfold |
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs | KC -7 |
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams | LAR -3.5 |
NFL convention championship sport cash traces
Recreation | Moneyline |
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs | CIN +270 |
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams | SF +146 |
NFL convention championship sport over/unders
Recreation | Over/Beneath |
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs | 54.5 |
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams | 46.5 |
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NFL greatest bets for convention championship video games
49ers (+3.5) at Rams
Each Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVay joined the NFC West as head coaches in 2017. Throughout that point, Shanahan has loved a definite benefit over McVay, even when McVay has had the superior group.
Shanahan’s report in opposition to McVay is 7-3 straight up, and Los Angeles’ final victory got here on the finish of the 2018 season when Nick Mullens was beginning at quarterback for a banged-up 49ers squad. Since then, the 49ers have gained six consecutive video games in opposition to the Rams. 4 have been by one possession, however the 49ers have nonetheless gained every time.
The 49ers simply beat the Rams in Week 18, getting back from 17 all the way down to beat them within the remaining week of the season. So, even when they get down early, they’ve confirmed that they will make the comeback. Their protection has additionally performed effectively, because the unit simply held Aaron Rodgers’ Packers to 10 factors and has allowed a mean of 16.3 factors per sport over their final seven. If they will hassle Matthew Stafford, who has been vulnerable to interceptions this 12 months, they need to actually cowl this unfold — if not, win outright.
49ers moneyline (+146)
For those who’re a bit extra daring, going with the 49ers moneyline is not a foul wager. It is paying out at roughly 1.5 to 1 and, as talked about, Shanahan has dominated McVay over latest years. That features this season, throughout which the 49ers have outscored the Rams 58-34 over two earlier conferences.
SN’s Vinnie Iyer is predicting a 49ers upset this week as effectively. This sport is extra of a coin-flip than most notice, so when you’re in search of worth within the convention championship video games, roll with San Francisco.
IYER’S PICKS: Bengals vs. Chiefs | 49ers vs. Rams
Bengals (+7) at Chiefs
One other underdog? You wager. The Bengals might discover it tough to beat the Chiefs for a second time this season, however they will actually cowl in opposition to a group they beat 34-31 in Week 17.
Cincinnati has performed simply three opponents that rank within the prime 10 of Soccer Outsiders’ DVOA metric, which “breaks down your complete season play-by-play, evaluating success on every play to the league common primarily based on a variety of variables together with down, distance, location on area, present rating hole, quarter, and opponent high quality.” They’ve a report of 1-2 straight up in these contests, however they’ve stored every sport shut and each losses got here in extra time.
Beneath is a have a look at every of their three video games in opposition to top-10 DVOA groups:
Week | Opponent | DVOA rank | Outcome |
5 | Packers | ninth | L, 25-22 (OT) |
14 | 49ers | sixth | L, 26-23 (OT) |
17 | Chiefs | seventh | W, 34-31 |
These earlier outcomes bode effectively for Cincinnati retaining it shut. As they confirmed in Week 17, they will compete with Kansas Metropolis. This has the makings of one other shut offensive battle that might come all the way down to the ultimate drive. As such, the Bengals appear like a pleasant decide as landing underdogs.
Bengals at Chiefs OVER 54.5
This quantity is a excessive one, so it might scare some off, particularly contemplating that the Bengals had a number of hassle transferring the ball in opposition to the Titans with Joe Burrow below stress. That mentioned, the over has been a reasonably protected wager with the Chiefs of late. They’ve hit the over in seven consecutive video games and have completed it slightly handily most occasions.
In six of their final seven video games, the Chiefs and their opponents have exceeded the over by at the least 7.5 factors. The one time they did not was in Week 16, once they exceeded in by 1.5 in a sport throughout which the Steelers scored solely 10 factors. On common, Chiefs video games have hit the over by a mean margin of 11.4 factors since their 48-9 win over the Raiders in Week 14.
That makes betting the over look appetizing, particularly contemplating that the Bengals have averaged 27.6 factors per sport in opposition to playoff groups and each groups scored greater than 30 the final time they met in Week 17.